Population trends
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This article considers the likely trends in population size, age structure and potential support ratios in the United Kingdom over the coming century. The extent to which these trends could be modified by changes in fertility or migration levels is examined. The findings of a recent United Nations report on 'Replacement Migration' are also considered in the light of the Government Actuary's official population projections for the United Kingdom' together with new projection scenarios prepared specially for this article.
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This article is the second part of a paper which updates previous analyses of suicide published in Population Trends. Suicide trends are analysed by age and sex for the constituent countries of the United Kingdom. Data for England and Wales are presented by region and by local authority. The analyses show substantial variations in suicide rates both across the United Kingdom and within England and Wales.
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There was a sharp peak in mortality during the 1996/7 winter, resulting in an estimated 49 thousand excess deaths. This article describes the timing of the winter peak, the population affected and the main causes of death. ⋯ The peak in the number of deaths in December 1996 and January 1997 coincided with a peak in the number of deaths attributed to influenza and with low temperatures. However, the excess winter mortality was higher than expected, based on the experience of previous winters.
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Conception statistics are derived from information collected at the registration of live births, still births, and legal abortions. This article looks at how conception rates vary across England and Wales using the 1991 ONS area classification of DHAs (Population Trends 79). A comparison is made between age-specific conception rates for different area classification groups in 1993, and changes between 1983 and 1993 are examined. Correlations between certain social and economic factors and conception rates are also analysed.