Emergency medicine Australasia : EMA
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Emerg Med Australas
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Emerg Med Australas · Oct 2019
Planning for the future: Modelling daily emergency department presentations in an Australian capital city.
To describe and model a decade of ED presentations in metropolitan Melbourne, Australia, from July 2000 to June 2010 and to validate the model of ED presentations by testing the model's performance in forecasting the subsequent 2 year period of daily presentations, from July 2010 to June 2012. ⋯ We have produced and validated a model for predicting daily ED presentations across a major city. Even though ED presentations are multifactorial, city-wide daily presentations are predictable and explained by a small number of variables. The model will have implications for future health planning.