JAMA : the journal of the American Medical Association
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JAMA
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Predictions of long-term survival and functional outcomes influence decision making for critically ill patients, yet little is known regarding their accuracy. ⋯ ICU physicians' and nurses' discriminative accuracy in predicting 6-month outcomes of critically ill patients varied depending on the outcome being predicted and confidence of the predictors. Further research is needed to better understand how clinicians derive prognostic estimates of long-term outcomes.