Journal of critical care
The most recent articles from:
J Crit Care
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Journal of critical care · Feb 2021
EditorialOn predictions in critical care: The individual prognostication fallacy in elderly patients.
Predicting the future course of critical conditions involves personal experience, heuristics and statistical models. Although these methods may perform well for some cases and population averages, they suffer from substantial shortcomings when applied to individual patients. ⋯ This notably applies to triage situations in response to a lack of healthcare resources. We will discuss these issues and argue that analysing longitudinal data obtained from time-limited trials in intensive care can provide a more robust approach to individual prognostication.