Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
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Inadequate selection of the dose to bring forward in confirmatory trials has been identified as one of the key drivers of the decreasing success rates observed in drug development programs across the pharmaceutical industry. In recognition of this problem, the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA), formed a working group to evaluate and develop alternative approaches to dose finding, including adaptive dose-ranging designs. This paper summarizes the work of the group, including the results and conclusions of a comprehensive simulation study, and puts forward recommendations on how to improve dose ranging in clinical development, including, but not limited to, the use of adaptive dose-ranging methods.
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Testing for noninferiority and equivalence between an experimental therapy and a standard therapy in terms of the ratio of binomial proportions is considered. New tests based on the Fieller-Hinkley distribution of the ratio of random variables are proposed. ⋯ The proposed test procedure is extended to multiple tables. The tests are applied to numerical examples.
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Propensity score analysis is a versatile statistical method used mainly in observational studies for improving treatment comparison by adjusting for up to a relatively large number of potentially confounding covariates. Recently, there has been an increased interest in applying this method to nonrandomized medical device clinical studies. In the application of the methodology, some statistical and regulatory issues arise in both study design and analysis of study results, such as the need for pre-specifying clinically relevant covariates to be measured, appropriate patient populations, and the essential elements of statistical analysis, planning sample size in the context of propensity score methodology, handling missing covariates in generating propensity scores, and assessing the success of the propensity score method by evaluating treatment group overlap in terms of the distributions of propensity scores. In this paper, the advantages and limitations of this methodology will be revisited, and the above issues will be discussed and illustrated with examples from a regulatory perspective.
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In order to fulfill the requirement of a new drug application, a sponsor often need to conduct multiple clinical trials. Often these trials are of designs more complicated than a randomized two-sample single-factor study. For example, these trials could be designed with multiple centers, multiple factors, covariates, group sequential and/or adaptive scheme, etc. ⋯ We studied the limitations of the two approaches for the consideration of switching between superiority and noninferiority testing, feasibility to be applied with group sequential design, constancy assumption requirements, test dependency in multiple trials, analysis of homogeneity of efficacy among centers in a multi-center trial, data transformation and changing analysis method from the historical studies. Our evaluation shows that the cross-trial comparison approach is more restricted to simple two sample comparison with normal approximation test because of its poor properties with more complicated design and analysis. On the other hand, the generalized historical control comparison approach may have more flexible properties when the variability of the margin delta is indeed negligibly small.
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A PhRMA Working Group on adaptive clinical trial designs has been formed to investigate and facilitate opportunities for wider acceptance and usage of adaptive designs and related methodologies. A White Paper summarizing the findings of the group is in preparation; this article is an Executive Summary for that full White Paper, and summarizes the findings and recommendations of the group. Logistic, operational, procedural, and statistical challenges associated with adaptive designs are addressed. Three particular areas where it is felt that adaptive designs can be utilized beneficially are discussed: dose finding, seamless Phase II/III trials designs, and sample size reestimation.