• Contemp Clin Trials · Sep 2008

    Bayesian interim analysis in clinical trials.

    • Xiao Zhang and Gary Cutter.
    • Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, 35294, USA.
    • Contemp Clin Trials. 2008 Sep 1; 29 (5): 751-5.

    AbstractWe propose a Bayesian approach to monitor clinical trials with clustered binary outcomes using multivariate probit models. Our monitoring is based on the calculated probability of the reduced incidence rate using a new treatment compared with the standard treatment greater than a target improvement under different prior scenarios for the treatment effect. We develop a Bayesian sampling algorithm for posterior inference allowing missing values in the outcomes. We illustrate our method using a published early trail of inhaled nitric oxide therapy in premature infants.

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