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- Rochelle P Walensky, Paul E Sax, Yoriko M Nakamura, Milton C Weinstein, Pamela P Pei, Kenneth A Freedberg, A David Paltiel, and Bruce R Schackman.
- Massachusetts General Hospital, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA.
- Ann. Intern. Med. 2013 Jan 15; 158 (2): 849284-92.
BackgroundU.S. HIV treatment guidelines recommend branded once-daily, 1-pill efavirenz-emtricitabine-tenofovir as first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART). With the anticipated approval of generic efavirenz in the United States, a once-daily, 3-pill alternative (generic efavirenz, generic lamivudine, and tenofovir) will decrease cost but may reduce adherence and virologic suppression.ObjectiveTo assess the clinical effect, costs, and cost-effectiveness of a 3-pill, generic-based regimen compared with a branded, coformulated regimen and to project the potential national savings in the first year of a switch to generic-based ART.DesignMathematical simulation of HIV disease.SettingUnited States.PatientsHIV-infected persons.InterventionNo ART (for comparison); 3-pill, generic-based ART; and branded ART.MeasurementsQuality-adjusted life expectancy, costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) in dollars per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY).ResultsCompared with no ART, generic-based ART has an ICER of $21,100/QALY. Compared with generic-based ART, branded ART increases lifetime costs by $42,500 and per-person survival gains by 0.37 QALYs for an ICER of $114,800/QALY. Estimated first-year savings, if all eligible U.S. patients start or switch to generic-based ART, are $920 million. Most plausible assumptions about generic-based ART efficacy and costs lead to branded ART ICERs greater than $100,000/QALY.LimitationThe efficacy and price reduction associated with generic drugs are unknown, and estimates are intended to be conservative.ConclusionCompared with a slightly less effective generic-based regimen, the cost-effectiveness of first-line branded ART exceeds $100,000/QALY. Generic-based ART in the United States could yield substantial budgetary savings to HIV programs.Primary Funding SourceNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.
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