• Xintong Ge, Luoyun Zhu, Wenzhu Li, Jian Sun, Fanglian Chen, Yongmei Li, Ping Lei, and Jianning Zhang.
• Department of Neurosurgery, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China.
• J. Neurotrauma. 2022 Jan 1; 39 (1-2): 159-171.

AbstractPrognosis evaluation is crucial for the effective management of patients with acute traumatic brain injury (TBI). However, there is still a lack of routinely available blood indicators for mortality risk in clinical practice. To investigate whether blood red cell distribution width to platelet count ratio (RPR) correlates with hospital mortality of TBI, clinical data of 2220 patients with TBI were extracted from two large intensive care unit cohorts (MIMIC-III and eICU Database), and were integratively analyzed using our developed method named MeDICS. We found that higher RPR can be observed among non-survivors than survivors of TBI (p < 0.001). It had a moderately good prognostic performance for mortality with an area under receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.7367, which was greater than that of Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS; AUC = 0.6022). Besides, the nomogram consisting of RPR, GCS, and other risk factors was developed, where 10-fold cross-validation was performed to protect it against overfitting. A Harrell's C-index of 0.8523 was determined, suggesting an improved prognostic value based on RPR. The in vivo experiments further confirmed the association between RPR and neuro-outcome after TBI. It indicated that the continuous change in RPR post-injury is attributed to the development of inflammation, which emphasized the importance of controlling inflammatory response in clinical treatment. Taken together, RPR is a promising routinely available predictor of mortality for acute TBI. The nomogram generated from it can be used in resource-limited settings, thus be proposed as a prognosis evaluation aid for patients with TBI in all levels of medical system.

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