• ANZ journal of surgery · Jan 2021

    Multicenter Study Observational Study

    COVID-19 risk in elective surgery during a second wave: a prospective cohort study.

    • Paul S Myles, Sophie Wallace, David A Story, Wendy Brown, Allen C Cheng, Andrew Forbes, Sofia Sidiropoulos, Andrew Davidson, Niki Tan, Andrew Jeffreys, Russell Hodgson, David A Scott, and Jade Radnor.
    • Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
    • ANZ J Surg. 2021 Jan 1; 91 (1-2): 22-26.

    BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has greatly affected access to elective surgery, largely because of concerns for patients and healthcare workers. A return to normal surgery workflow depends on the prevalence and transmission of coronavirus in elective surgical patients. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of active SARS-coronavirus-2 infection during a second wave among patients admitted to hospital for elective surgery in Victoria.MethodsProspective cohort study across eight hospitals in Victoria during July-August 2020 was conducted enrolling adults and children admitted to hospital for elective surgery or interventional procedure requiring general anaesthesia. Study outcomes included a positive polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test for SARS-CoV-2 in the preoperative period (primary outcome), and for those with a negative test preoperatively, the incidence of a positive PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 in the post-operative period.ResultsWe enrolled 4965 elective adult and paediatric surgical patients from 15 July to 31 August 2020. Four patients screened negative on questionnaire but had a positive PCR test for coronavirus, resulting in a Bayesian estimated prevalence of 0.12% (95% probability interval 0-0.26%). There were no reports of healthcare worker infections linked to elective surgery during and up to 2 weeks after the study period.ConclusionThe prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in asymptomatic elective surgical patients during a second wave was approximately 1 in 833. Given the very low likelihood of coronavirus transmission, and with existing current hospital capacity, recommencement of elective surgery should be considered. A coronavirus screening checklist should be mandated for surgical patients.© 2021 Royal Australasian College of Surgeons.

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