• Osamu Nemoto, Akira Kitada, Satoko Naitou, Yoshifumi Tsuda, Keitarou Matsukawa, and You Ukegawa.
• Orthopaedic Surgery, Japanese Self Defense Forces Hospital, Ikejiri, Setagaya-ku, Tokyo, Japan. drsamusio@world.ocn.ne.jp
• Eur Spine J. 2013 Feb 1;22(2):453-8.

IntroductionThe relation between radiological abnormalities on lumbar spine and low back pain (LBP) has been debated, presumably because of potential biases related to heterogeneity in selection of the subjects, radiological abnormalities at entry, or its cross-sectional observation in nature. Therefore, the aim of this study of a selected population of asymptomatic Japanese Self Defense Forces (JSDF) young adults male with normal lumbar radiographs was to investigate the incidence of newly developed lumbar degenerative changes at middle age and to study their association to LBP.Subjects And MethodsIn 1990, 84 JSDF male military servicemen aged 18 years, without a history of LBP and radiological abnormal findings, were enrolled. After 20 years, 84 subjects were underwent repeated X-ray and completed questionnaires on current LBP and lifestyle factors.ResultsThe prevalence of LBP was demonstrated 59 %, with 85 % of them showing mild pain. Analysis of lumbar radiographs revealed that 48 % had normal findings and 52 % had degenerative changes. The association between LBP and life style factors was not demonstrated. Lumbar spine in subjects with LBP was more degenerated than in those without. Although disc space narrowing and LBP did not achieve a statistical significance, a significant correlation existed between vertebral osteophyte and LBP in univariate and multivariate analysis (OR 3.0; 95 % CI 1.227-7.333).Discussion And ConclusionsThis longitudinal study demonstrated the significant association between vertebral osteophyte and incidence of mild LBP in initially asymptomatic and radiologically normal subjects. These data provide the additional information concerning the pathology of LBP, but further study is needed to clarify the clinical relevance.

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