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- Shan Liu, Daena Watcha, Mark Holodniy, and Jeremy D Goldhaber-Fiebert.
- Ann. Intern. Med. 2014 Oct 21; 161 (8): 546-53.
BackgroundPrevalence of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is high among incarcerated persons in the United States. New, short-duration, high-efficacy therapies may expand treatment eligibility in this population.ObjectiveTo assess the cost-effectiveness of sofosbuvir for HCV treatment in incarcerated populations.DesignMarkov model.Data SourcesPublished literature and expert opinion.Target PopulationTreatment-naive men with chronic, genotype 1 HCV monoinfection.Time HorizonLifetime.PerspectiveSocietal.InterventionNo treatment, 2-drug therapy (pegylated interferon and ribavirin), or 3-drug therapy with either boceprevir or sofosbuvir. For inmates with short remaining sentences (<1.5 years), only no treatment or sofosbuvir 3-drug therapy was feasible; for those with long sentences (≥1.5 years; mean, 10 years), all strategies were considered. After release, eligible persons could receive sofosbuvir 3-drug therapy.Outcome MeasuresDiscounted costs (in 2013 U.S. dollars), discounted quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios.Results Of Base Case AnalysisThe strategies yielded 13.12, 13.57, 14.43, and 15.18 QALYs, respectively, for persons with long sentences. Sofosbuvir produced the largest absolute reductions in decompensated cirrhosis (16%) and hepatocellular carcinoma (9%), resulting in 2.1 additional QALYs at an added cost exceeding $54,000 compared with no treatment. For persons with short sentences, sofosbuvir cost $25,700 per QALY gained compared with no treatment; for those with long sentences, it dominated other treatments, costing $28,800 per QALY gained compared with no treatment.Results Of Sensitivity AnalysisHigh reinfection rates in prison attenuated cost-effectiveness for persons with long sentences.LimitationsData on sofosbuvir's long-term effectiveness and price are limited. The analysis did not consider women, Hispanic persons, or patients co-infected with HIV or hepatitis B virus.ConclusionSofosbuvir-based treatment is cost-effective for incarcerated persons, but affordability is an important consideration.Primary Funding SourceNational Institutes of Health.
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