• Shawn R Eagle, Enyinna Nwachuku, Hansen Deng, David O Okonkwo, Justin Elmer, and Matthew Pease.
• Department of Neurological Surgery, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
• J. Neurotrauma. 2023 Oct 16.

AbstractOutcomes after severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) can be represented by a sliding score that compares actual functional recovery to that predicted by illness severity models. This approach has been applied in clinical trials because of its statistical efficiency and interpretability but has not been used to describe change in functional recovery over time. The objective of this study was to use a sliding scoring system to describe the magnitude of change in Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended (GOSE) score at 6, 12, and 24 months after severe TBI and to compare patients who improved after 6 months to those who did not. This study included consecutive severe TBI patients (Glasgow Coma Scale ≤8; n = 482) from a single center. We grouped patients into four strata based on probability of unfavorable outcome (GOSE = 1-4) using the International Mission on Prognosis and Analysis of Clinical Trials (IMPACT) model, selected a dichotomous GOSE threshold within each stratum, and compared each patient's GOSE to this threshold to calculate a score (GOSE-Sliding Scale [SS]) from -5 to +4 at 6, 12, and 24 months. We compared GOSE-SS at 6 months with GOSE-SS at 12 and 24 months and also compared characteristics of participants who improved after 6 months with characteristics of those who did not using χ2 and t tests. Compared with at 6 months, 40% of patients (n = 74) had improved GOSE-SS at 12 months, and 53% had improved GOSE-SS by 24 months (n = 72). Among those who improved at 12 months, the average magnitude of improvement was 1.7 ± 0.9 and among those who improved at 24 months, the average magnitude of improvement was 1.9 ± 1.0. Those who improved their GOSE-SS score from 6 to 24 months had longer hospital stays (mean-difference = 8.6 days; p = 0.03), longer intensive care unit (ICU) stays (mean-difference = 5.5 days; p = 0.02), and longer ventilator time (mean-difference = 5 days; p = 0.02) than those who worsened. These results support an optimistic long-term outlook for severe TBI patients and emphasize the importance of long-term follow-up in severe TBI survivors.

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