• Med. J. Aust. · Mar 2012

    Comparative Study

    The first year counts: cancer survival among Indigenous and non-Indigenous Queenslanders, 1997-2006.

    • Susanna M Cramb, Gail Garvey, Patricia C Valery, John D Williamson, and Peter D Baade.
    • Viertel Centre for Research in Cancer Control, Cancer Council Queensland, Brisbane, QLD.
    • Med. J. Aust. 2012 Mar 5;196(4):270-4.

    ObjectiveTo examine the differential in cancer survival between Indigenous and non-Indigenous people in Queensland in relation to time after diagnosis, remoteness and area-socioeconomic disadvantage.Design, Setting And ParticipantsDescriptive study of population-based data on all 150,059 Queensland residents of known Indigenous status aged 15 years and over who were diagnosed with a primary invasive cancer during 1997-2006.Main Outcome MeasuresHazard ratios for the categories of area-socioeconomic disadvantage, remoteness and Indigenous status, as well as conditional 5-year survival estimates.ResultsFive-year survival was lower for Indigenous people diagnosed with cancer (50.3%; 95% CI, 47.8%-52.8%) compared with non-Indigenous people (61.9%; 95% CI, 61.7%-62.2%). There was no evidence that this differential varied by remoteness (P = 0.780) or area-socioeconomic disadvantage (P = 0.845). However, it did vary by time after diagnosis. In a time-varying survival model stratified by age, sex and cancer type, the 50% excess mortality in the first year (adjusted HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.38-1.63) reduced to near unity at 2 years after diagnosis (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.78-1.35).ConclusionsAfter a wide disparity in cancer survival in the first 2 years after diagnosis, Indigenous patients with cancer who survive these 2 years have a similar outlook to non-Indigenous patients. Access to services and socioeconomic factors are unlikely to be the main causes of the early lower Indigenous survival, as patterns were similar across remoteness and area-socioeconomic disadvantage. There is an urgent need to identify the factors leading to poor outcomes early after diagnosis among Indigenous people with cancer.

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