• Alain Dardashti, Shahab Nozohoor, Lars Algotsson, Per Ederoth, and Henrik Bjursten.
• Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery and Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, Lund University, Skane University Hospital, Lund, Sweden. Electronic address: alain.dardashti@med.lu.se.
• J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg. 2016 Jul 1; 152 (1): 139-46.

ObjectivesTo evaluate serum creatinine (s-creatinine) and serum cystatin C (s-cystatin C) levels and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at different time points as predictors for mortality in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).MethodsA total of 1638 patients undergoing elective CABG were studied prospectively over a median follow-up of 3.5 years (range, 2.0-5.0 years). Renal function was assessed by a comparison of s-creatinine, s-cystatin C values measured preoperatively and at the lowest postoperative level of renal function. The eGFR was estimated by different formulas: Modification of Diet in Renal Disease, the 2009 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology (CDK-EPI) for s-creatinine, the 2012 CKD-EPI formula for s-cystatin C, the 2012 CKD-EPI formula for s-cystatin C and s-creatinine in combination, and the Caucasian Asian, Pediatric, and Adult subjects formula for s-cystatin C. Cox proportional hazards model analysis and C-statistics were used to evaluate independent predictors of mortality and to assess the predictive ability of the different renal function measures.ResultsThe 30-day mortality was 0.8%. Overall survival was 96.1% ± 0.4% at 2 years and 90.0% ± 1.2% at 5 years. Preoperative s-cystatin C showed greater predictive power than s-creatinine for overall mortality (area under the curve, 0.794 vs 0.653). Preoperative s-cystatin C (hazard ratio [HR], 1.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.36-1.99) and eGFR based on s-cystatin C (HR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.95-0.98), were both independent predictors of mortality. The unadjusted HR for mortality comparing the lowest preoperative cystatin C quintile (Q1) with Q4-Q5 were as follows: Q1 versus Q5, HR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.6-2.5 (P < .001); Q1 versus Q4, HR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.2 (P = .005).ConclusionsThe s-cystatin C level and s-cystatin C-based eGFR measured preoperatively are strong predictors for mortality after elective CABG.Copyright © 2016 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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