• Jasvinder A Singh, Chris Cameron, Shahrzad Noorbaloochi, Tyler Cullis, Matthew Tucker, Robin Christensen, Elizabeth Tanjong Ghogomu, Doug Coyle, Tammy Clifford, Peter Tugwell, and George A Wells.
• Birmingham Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Birmingham, AL, USA; Division of Clinical Immunology and Rheumatology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA; Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, MN, USA. Electronic address: jasvinder.md@gmail.com.
• Lancet. 2015 Jul 18;386(9990):258-65.

BackgroundSerious infections are a major concern for patients considering treatments for rheumatoid arthritis. Evidence is inconsistent as to whether biological drugs are associated with an increased risk of serious infection compared with traditional disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs). We did a systematic review and meta-analysis of serious infections in patients treated with biological drugs compared with those treated with traditional DMARDs.MethodsWe did a systematic literature search with Medline, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and ClinicalTrials.gov from their inception to Feb 11, 2014. Search terms included "biologics", "rheumatoid arthritis" and their synonyms. Trials were eligible for inclusion if they included any of the approved biological drugs and reported serious infections. We assessed the risk of bias with the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool. We did a Bayesian network meta-analysis of published trials using a binomial likelihood model to assess the risk of serious infections in patients with rheumatoid arthritis who were treated with biological drugs, compared with those treated with traditional DMARDs. The odds ratio (OR) of serious infection was the primary measure of treatment effect and calculated 95% credible intervals using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods.FindingsThe systematic review identified 106 trials that reported serious infections and included patients with rheumatoid arthritis who received biological drugs. Compared with traditional DMARDs, standard-dose biological drugs (OR 1.31, 95% credible interval [CrI] 1.09-1.58) and high-dose biological drugs (1.90, 1.50-2.39) were associated with an increased risk of serious infections, although low-dose biological drugs (0.93, 0.65-1.33) were not. The risk was lower in patients who were methotrexate naive compared with traditional DMARD-experienced or anti-tumour necrosis factor biological drug-experienced patients. The absolute increase in the number of serious infections per 1000 patients treated each year ranged from six for standard-dose biological drugs to 55 for combination biological therapy, compared with traditional DMARDs.InterpretationStandard-dose and high-dose biological drugs (with or without traditional DMARDs) are associated with an increase in serious infections in rheumatoid arthritis compared with traditional DMARDs, although low-dose biological drugs are not. Clinicians should discuss the balance between benefit and harm with the individual patient before starting biological treatment for rheumatoid arthritis.FundingRheumatology Division at the University of Alabama at Birmingham.Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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