• J Willner, I C Kiricuta, and O Kölbl.
• Klinik und Poliklinik für Strahlentherapie, Universität Würzburg.
• Strahlenther Onkol. 1995 Jan 1; 171 (1): 18-28.

BackgroundPrognosis following locoregional recurrence of breast cancer after mastectomy often is described as fatal. However, certain subgroups with better prognosis are supposed. We analysed established prognostic factors for their influence on post recurrence survival in order to discriminate favourable from unfavourable subgroups.Patients And MethodsBetween 1979 and 1989 163 patients with a local or regional recurrence of breast cancer following mastectomy were treated at the Department of Radiation Oncology of the University of Würzburg. One hundred and forty had an isolated recurrence, without evidence of distant disease at the time of recurrence. Median follow up for patients alive at the time of analysis was 102 months from diagnosis of recurrence. Thirteen prognostic factors were tested.ResultsOut of the 140 patients 94 (58%) developed distant metastases within the follow-up period. Metastatic-free rate was 42% at 5 years and 38% at 10 years following recurrence. Recurrences occurred in 50% of patients within the first 2 years from primary surgery, in 83% within 5 years. In univariate analysis statistically significant influence on survival rates was found for pT, pN-status, lymphatic vessel invasion, blood vessel invasion, tumor necrosis, hormonal receptor status, presence or development of distant metastases, time to recurrence and site and extension of recurrence. Two- and 5-year survival rates ranged from 64% to 81% and from 40% to 60%, respectively in the favourable subgroups compared to a survival rate ranging from 15% to 44% at 2 years and 0% to 29% at 5 years in the unfavourable subgroups. In patients with involved axillary lymph nodes, the absolute number of nodes did not prove to have significant influence on overall survival. Histopathological grading did not reach statistical significance levels although an influence on survival was observed. Preceding adjuvant radiotherapy did not influence post-recurrence survival rates. Also preceding adjuvant systemic therapy showed no significant impact on survival. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that primary axillary status correlated most strongly with overall survival (p < 0.001) followed by tumor necrosis (p < 0.01).ConclusionsThe mentioned prognostic factors may be useful in determining the adequate (local and systemic) therapy and the best time for it. Our data support previous findings, that certain subgroups with favourable prognostic features exist and they might still have a chance for cure by an adequate local treatment, whereas subgroups of patients with unfavourable prognostic factors have to receive systemic therapy immediately following local therapy because of the forthcoming systemic progression.

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