• Kyle J Kalkwarf, Shane D Jensen, Myron Allukian, Matthew T Harting, Charles S Cox, Erin E Fox, Charles E Wade, and Bryan A Cotton.
• Department of Surgery, McGovern Medical School, University of Texas Health Science Center, Houston, TX. Electronic address: kyle.kalkwarf@gmail.com.
• J. Am. Coll. Surg. 2018 Apr 1; 226 (4): 662-667.

BackgroundObjective parameters predicting futility of care in severely injured pediatric patients are lacking. Although futility of care has been investigated in a limited number of studies in trauma patients, none of these studies achieves a 100% success rate in a large cohort of pediatric patients. The purpose of the current study was to identify extreme laboratory values that could be used to predict 100% mortality in severely injured children.Study DesignWe evaluated a registry-based, historical cohort of all severely injured children (Level I trauma, younger than 16 years old) who were not dead on arrival between January 2010 and December 2016 from a single Level I trauma center. Extreme arrival laboratory data were evaluated both alone and in conjunction with traumatic brain injury.ResultsThere were 1,292 patients who met inclusion criteria, of which 1,169 (90.5%) survived and 123 (9.5%) died. Those who died were significantly younger, with higher head Abbreviated Injury Scale scores and overall Injury Severity Scores. Single extreme laboratory values were identified that predicted mortality perfectly (100% positive predictive value): international normalized ratio ≥3.0, pH ≤6.95, base excess ≤ -22, platelet count ≤30,000, hemoglobin ≤5.0 g/dL, rapid thromboelastography ≤30 mm, and rapid thromboelastography lysis at 30 minutes ≥50%. When 2 laboratory values or the presence of traumatic brain injury were added, lower thresholds for futility were noted.ConclusionsExtreme admission laboratory values are capable of predicting 100% mortality and futility of additional care in severely injured children with a high level of accuracy. Validation of these single-center findings is warranted and, if supported, should initiate a discussion within the pediatric trauma community about application and cessation of resuscitation efforts to optimize resource use.Copyright © 2018 American College of Surgeons. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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