• Med. J. Aust. · Mar 2020

    Comparative Study

    Differences in stroke risk and cardiovascular mortality for Aboriginal and other Australian patients with atrial fibrillation.

    • Lee Nedkoff, Erin A Kelty, Joseph Hung, Sandra C Thompson, and Judith M Katzenellenbogen.
    • University of Western Australia, Perth, WA.
    • Med. J. Aust. 2020 Mar 1; 212 (5): 215221215-221.

    ObjectivesTo assess the risks of stroke and cardiovascular mortality for Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal Australians with atrial fibrillation.DesignRetrospective data linkage cohort study.Setting, ParticipantsAll people aged 20-84 years hospitalised with atrial fibrillation in Western Australia during 2000-2012.Main Outcome MeasuresStroke incidence rates and mortality after hospitalisation for atrial fibrillation, and 10-year risks of stroke and of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.ResultsAmong 55 482 index admissions with atrial fibrillation, 7.7% of 20-59-year-old patients and 1.3% of 60-84-year-old patients were Aboriginal Australians. A larger proportion of Aboriginal patients aged 20-59 years had CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores of 2 or more (59.8% v 21.8%). In 20-59-year-old Aboriginal patients, the incidence during follow-up (maximum, 10 years; median, 7.1 years) of stroke (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 3.2; 95% CI, 2.5-4.1) and fatal stroke (IRR, 5.7; 95% CI, 3.9-8.9) were markedly higher than for non-Aboriginal patients. Stroke incidence was higher for 60-84-year-old patients, but the difference between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal patients was smaller (IRR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.3-2.0). Cardiovascular mortality during follow-up was also higher for 20-59-year-old Aboriginal patients (IRR, 4.4; 95% CI, 4.3-5.9). The hazards of stroke (adjusted HR [aHR], 1.67; 95% CI, 1.22-2.28) and cardiovascular mortality (aHR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.18-1.83) in younger Aboriginal patients remained significantly higher after multivariable adjustment; age/sex, principal diagnosis of atrial fibrillation, and CHA2 DS2 -VASc score were the most influential factors.ConclusionStroke risk and cardiovascular mortality are markedly higher for Aboriginal than non-Aboriginal patients with atrial fibrillation, particularly for patients under 60. Strategies for providing evidence-based therapies and cardiovascular prevention to Aboriginal people with atrial fibrillation must be improved.© 2020 AMPCo Pty Ltd.

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