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Emerging Infect. Dis. · May 2020
Risk for Transportation of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China.
- Zhanwei Du, Lin Wang, Simon Cauchemez, Xiaoke Xu, Xianwen Wang, Benjamin J Cowling, and Lauren Ancel Meyers.
- Emerging Infect. Dis. 2020 May 1; 26 (5): 1049-1052.
AbstractOn January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.
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