• J Travel Med · Mar 2020

    Review

    The reproductive number of COVID-19 is higher compared to SARS coronavirus.

    Liu et al.'s review of early published coronavirus data from 12 studies published in December 2019 & January 2020 found R0 estimates ranging from 1.4 to 6.49.

    "This review found that the average R0 to be 3.28 and median to be 2.79, which exceed WHO estimates from 1.4 to 2.5."

    summary
    • Ying Liu, Albert A Gayle, Annelies Wilder-Smith, and Joacim Rocklöv.
    • School of International Business, Xiamen University Tan Kah Kee College, Zhangzhou, 363105, China.
    • J Travel Med. 2020 Mar 13; 27 (2).

    no abstract available

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    Notes

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    1

    Liu et al.'s review of early published coronavirus data from 12 studies published in December 2019 & January 2020 found R0 estimates ranging from 1.4 to 6.49.

    "This review found that the average R0 to be 3.28 and median to be 2.79, which exceed WHO estimates from 1.4 to 2.5."

    Daniel Jolley  Daniel Jolley
    comment
    0

    Take this with a grain-of-salt given the very early data that this review is based upon, though it does help to explain the rapid global transmission observed with SARS-CoV-2.

    Daniel Jolley  Daniel Jolley
     
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