Journal of thrombosis and haemostasis : JTH
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J. Thromb. Haemost. · Aug 2017
Review Meta AnalysisAssessment of clinically relevant bleeding as a surrogate outcome for major bleeding: validation by meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.
Essentials Surrogacy of clinically relevant bleeding (CRB) for major bleeding has never been validated. Our meta-analysis evaluated CRB surrogacy in trials of new versus traditional anticoagulants. Surrogacy was not validated in orthopedic surgery, venous thromboembolism or atrial fibrillation The difficulty in demonstrating the surrogacy may reflect a lack of homogeneity in its definition Background Clinically relevant bleeding (CRB), comprising major bleeding and clinically relevant non-major bleeding, has been used as a surrogate for major bleeding in most anticoagulant trials. ⋯ For acute VTE studies (n = 12), major bleeding and CRB rates were 1.87% and 9.07%; the corresponding R2trial values were 0.28 (95% CI 0.01-0.80) and 0.68 (95% CI 0.09-1.00) when only double-blind studies were considered (n = 7). For AF studies (n = 7; 22 strata), major bleeding and CRB rates were 4.82% and 15.3%, and R2trial was 0.59 (95% CI 0.15-0.82). Conclusion Despite an apparent correlation between CRB and major bleeding in major orthopedic surgery, AF, and double-blind acute VTE studies, the wide CIs suggest that CRB might not be an acceptable surrogate outcome in any of these settings.