Preventive medicine
-
Preventive medicine · May 2019
Estimates of the current and future burden of lung cancer attributable to residential radon exposure in Canada.
Radon is widely recognized as a human carcinogen and findings from epidemiologic studies support a causal association between residential radon exposure and lung cancer risk. Our aim was to derive population attributable risks (PAR) to estimate the numbers of incident lung cancer due to residential radon exposure in Canada in 2015. Potential impact fractions for 2042 were estimated based on a series of counterfactuals. ⋯ If mitigation efforts were to reduce all residential radon exposures that are above current Canadian policy guidelines of 200 Bq/m3 (3% of Canadians) to 50 Bq/m3, 293 cases could be prevented in 2042, and 2322 cumulative cases could be prevented between 2016 and 2042. Our results show that mitigation that exclusively targets Canadian homes with radon exposures above current Canadian guidelines may not greatly alleviate the future projected lung cancer burden. Mitigation of residential radon levels below current guidelines may be required to substantially reduce the overall lung cancer burden in the Canadian population.
-
Infections are estimated to cause approximately 15% of the world's cancers with large geographic variations. Yet, Canadian estimates for specific cancer-causing infections are not available. To estimate the number of infection-associated cancers diagnosed among Canadian adults in 2015, we calculated population attributable risks (PARs) and the number of attributable cases for seven carcinogenic infections and their 20 associated cancers. ⋯ The estimated number of infection-attributable cancer cases for 2015 was: 3828 for human papillomavirus (HPV), 2052 for Helicobacter pylori, 578 for Epstein-Barr virus, 509 for hepatitis B and C viruses (HBV, HCV), 100 for human herpesvirus type 8, and 30 cases for human T-cell lymphotropic virus type 1. These seven infections were responsible for 3.7% of cancers diagnosed among Canadian adults in 2015; 3.5% among men and 4.0% among women. The infections with the highest number of attributable cases are largely preventable or treatable through vaccination (HBV and HPV), antibiotic therapy (H. pylori), or a combination of interventions (HCV), thereby representing an important target for reducing the infection-caused cancer burden among Canadians.
-
Preventive medicine · May 2019
Estimates of the future burden of cancer attributable to infections in Canada.
More than 7000 incident cancers diagnosed in Canada in 2015 were attributable to infections. The future infection-associated cancer burden can be lowered by reducing the prevalence of major cancer-causing infections; hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) and human papillomavirus (HPV). We modeled the future impact of (1) 10%, 25%, and 50% relative reductions in the prevalence of HBV, HCV and H. pylori and (2) different school-based HPV vaccination coverage levels (lower, current, higher) on Canadian cancer incidence by the year 2042. ⋯ A 50% counterfactual reduction in the prevalence of HBV, HCV and H. pylori could prevent an estimated 10,585 cancers from 2018 to 2042; a 25% reduction could prevent 5293 cancers and a 10% reduction could prevent 2117 cancers. Assuming continuity of current estimated country-wide HPV vaccine coverage, 3977 anogenital and 1073 head and neck cancers could be prevented from 2018 to 2042, whereas vaccine coverage of 80% in girls and boys could prevent an additional 311 cancers. Almost 16,000 cancers could be prevented in Canada from 2018 to 2042 with a 50% relative reduction in HBV, HCV and H. pylori prevalence and 80% HPV vaccine coverage of girls and boys.
-
Preventive medicine · May 2019
Estimates of the current and future burden of cancer attributable to excess body weight and abdominal adiposity in Canada.
The increasing prevalence of obesity among Canadians has important implications for newly diagnosed cases of cancer given that excess body weight and abdominal adiposity are known to increase the risk of several cancers. The purpose of this analysis was to estimate the current attributable and future avoidable burden of cancer related to excess body weight and abdominal adiposity among Canadian adults. We estimated the population attributable risk (PAR) for all cancers associated with excess body weight and abdominal adiposity using contemporary cancer incidence, relative risk and exposure prevalence data for body mass index (BMI), waist circumference and waist-to-hip-ratio. ⋯ In 2015, the estimated PARs of all incident cancers associated with excess body weight, excess abdominal adiposity and high waist-to-hip ratio were 7.2%, 8.9% and 10.0%, respectively. If the population BMI could revert to its 1994 distribution, 72,157 associated cancer cases could be prevented cumulatively by 2042. A reduction in excess body weight and abdominal adiposity has the potential to decrease the future cancer burden in Canada substantially, and hence efforts to reverse increasing trends in obesity should be prioritized.
-
Preventive medicine · May 2019
Estimates of the current and future burden of melanoma attributable to ultraviolet radiation in Canada.
Exposure to ultraviolet radiation (UVR) is an established cause of cutaneous melanoma. The purpose of this study was to estimate the current attributable and future avoidable burden of melanoma related to exposure to UVR and modifiable UVR risk behaviors (sunburn, sunbathing, and indoor tanning). The population attributable risk (PAR) associated with UVR in 2015 was estimated by comparing Canadian melanoma incidence rates in 2015 to estimated incidence rates of a 1920 birth cohort. ⋯ In 2015, we estimate that 62.3% of melanomas in Canada were attributable to exposure to UVR and that 29.7% were attributable to the combination of sunburn (7.4%), sunbathing (17.8%), and indoor tanning (7.0%). A 50% reduction in modifiable UVR behaviors could avoid an estimated 11,980 melanoma cases by 2042. Prevention strategies aimed at modifiable UVR behaviors are crucial to reduce the growing burden of melanoma in Canada.