Journal of neurotrauma
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Journal of neurotrauma · Oct 2024
Randomized Controlled Trial Multicenter StudyPredicting Progression of Intracranial Hemorrhage in the Prehospital TXA for TBI Trial.
Progression of intracranial hemorrhage is a common, potentially devastating complication after moderate/severe traumatic brain injury (TBI). Clinicians have few tools to predict which patients with traumatic intracranial hemorrhage on their initial head computed tomography (hCT) scan will progress. The objective of this investigation was to identify clinical, imaging, and/or protein biomarkers associated with progression of intracranial hemorrhage (PICH) after moderate/severe TBI and to create an accurate predictive model of PICH based on clinical features available at presentation. ⋯ Models composed of machine-selected features performed better than models composed of expert-selected variables (reaching an average of 77% accuracy, AUC = 0.78 versus AUC = 0.68 for the expert-selected variables). Predictive models utilizing variables measured at admission can accurately predict PICH, confirmed by the 6-hour follow-up hCT. Our best-performing models must now be externally validated in a separate cohort of TBI patients with low GCS and initial hCT positive for hemorrhage.