Aaps J
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Pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) modeling greatly enables quantitative implementation of the "learn and confirm" paradigm across different stages of drug discovery and development. This work describes the successful prospective application of this concept in the discovery and early development of a novel κ-opioid receptor (KOR) antagonist, PF-04455242, where PK-PD understanding from preclinical biomarker responses enabled successful prediction of the clinical response in a proof of mechanism study. Preclinical data obtained in rats included time course measures of the KOR antagonist (PF-04455242), a KOR agonist (spiradoline), and a KOR-mediated biomarker response (prolactin secretion) in plasma. ⋯ This prediction was in good agreement with that estimated via the application of the proposed PK-PD model to the clinical data (i.e., 39.2 ng/mL). These results illustrate the utility of the proposed PK-PD model in supporting the quantitative translation of preclinical studies into an accurate clinical expectation. As such, the proposed PK-PD model is useful for supporting the design, selection, and early development of novel KOR antagonists.