Articles: emergency-services.
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To develop and internally validate a multivariable logistic regression model (LRM) for the prediction of the probability of 1-year readmission to the emergency department (ED) in patients with acute alcohol intoxication (AAI). We developed and internally validated the LRM on a previously analyzed retrospective cohort of 3304 patients with AAI admitted to the ED of the Sant'Orsola-Malpighi Hospital (Bologna, Italy). The benchmark LRM employed readmission to the same ED for AAI within 1 year as the binary outcome, age as a continuous predictor, and sex, alcohol use disorder, substance use disorder, at least one previous admission for trauma, mental or behavioral disease, and homelessness as the binary predictors. ⋯ The reduced LRM had the following optimism-corrected metrics: scaled Brier score 17.0%, C-statistic 0.799 (95% CI 0.778 to 0.821), calibration in the large 0.000 (95% CI - 0.099 to 0.099), calibration slope 0.985 (95% CI 0.893 to 1.088), and an acceptably accurate calibration plot. An LRM based on sex, age, at least one previous admission for trauma, mental or behavioral disease, and homelessness can be used to estimate the probability of 1-year readmission to ED for AAI. To begin proving its clinical utility, this LRM should be validated in external cohorts.
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Research has observed increased mortality among older people attending the emergency department (ED) who had systolic pressure > 7 mmHg lower than baseline primary care values. This study aimed to (1) assess feasibility of identifying this 'relative hypotension' using readily available ED data, (2) externally validate the 7 mmHg threshold, and (3) refine a threshold for clinically important relative hypotension. A single-centre retrospective cohort study linked year 2019 data for ED attendances by people aged over 64 to hospital discharge vital signs within the previous 18 months. ⋯ The association of relative hypotension > 7 mmHg with 30-day mortality was externally validated. Indeed, any relative hypotension appeared to increase risk, but model characteristics were poor. These findings are limited to the context of older people with recent hospital admissions.
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To study the diagnostic performance of an ultrasound-based algorithm that includes the deceleration time (DT) of early mitral filling to establish a diagnosis of acute heart failure (AHF) in patients who come to an emergency department because of dyspnea. ⋯ The ultrasound-based algorithm integrating the DT of early mitral filling performs well for diagnosing AHF in emergency patients with dyspnea. The inclusion of early DT allows all patients to be diagnosed.
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To investigate current ED management of patients with syncope in Italy and opportunities for optimization, we carried out a questionnaire survey involving 102 directors of ED facilities in our country, of any complexity level, with 55.9% located in the North, 97% equipped with an ED Observation Unit (EDOU), and 21.8% with an outpatient Syncope Unit (SU). 43.6% of EDs management is not standardized. Clinical judgment and monitoring are the main factors leading management while old age and neuropsychic comorbidities the most hindering it. More than one third of ED facilities treats fewer than half of patients in EDOU. ⋯ To optimize it, 98% of them believe that is appropriate to implement a standardized approach, with and a large majority focusing on increasing diagnostic yield and safety; other priorities include application of guidelines, implementation of care pathways, enhancement of the role of EDOU, and direct path to the SU. This study highlights that the management of syncope patients in our country requires a further improvement, especially through standardization of pathways and adoption of innovative organizational solutions. Admissions appear to be lower than reported in the literature but this finding must be confirmed by a multicentric study based on direct collection of data.