• Kyung Won Kim, Seong Ho Park, Junhee Pyo, Soon Ho Yoon, Jae Ho Byun, Moon-Gyu Lee, Katherine M Krajewski, and Nikhil H Ramaiya.
• *Department of Radiology and Research Institute of Radiology, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Korea †Department of Imaging, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA ‡The Institute for Clinical Research and Health Policy Studies, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA; and §Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Korea.
• Ann. Surg.. 2014 Jan 1;259(1):72-81.

ObjectiveTo systematically determine the imaging findings for distinguishing malignant and benign branch-duct type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs), including mixed type, and their diagnostic value through meta-analysis of published studies.BackgroundManagement of BD-IPMNs, including mixed type, largely relies on imaging findings. The current knowledge on imaging findings to distinguish malignant and benign BD-IPMNs has weak evidence and is mostly from scattered individual retrospective studies.MethodsThorough literature search in Ovid-MEDLINE and EMBASE databases was conducted to identify studies where findings of computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, and endoscopic ultrasonography of BD-IPMNs with or without main pancreatic duct (MPD) dilatation were correlated with surgical/pathological findings. Review of 1128 article candidates, including full-text review of 102 articles, identified 23 eligible articles with a total of 1373 patients for meta-analysis. Dichotomous data regarding distinction between malignant and benign BD-IPMNs were pooled using random effects model to obtain the diagnostic odds ratios (DORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of various individual imaging findings for diagnosing malignant BD-IPMN.ResultsPresence of mural nodules revealed the highest pooled DOR (95% CI) of 6.0 (4.1-8.8) followed by MPD dilatation [3.4 (2.3-5.2)], thick septum/wall [unadjusted, 3.3 (1.5-6.9); publication bias-adjusted, 2.3 (0.9-5.5)], and cyst size greater than 3 cm [2.3 (1.5-3.5)]. Multilocularity and multiplicity of the cystic lesions did not reveal statistically significant association with malignancy.ConclusionsPresence of mural nodules should be regarded highly suspicious for malignancy warranting a surgical excision whereas cyst size greater than 3 cm, MPD dilatation (5-9 mm), or thick septum/wall may better be managed by careful observation and/or further evaluation.

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