Journal of neurotrauma
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Journal of neurotrauma · Jul 2023
Multicenter StudyPrediction of Mortality Among Patients with Isolated Traumatic Brain Injury Using Machine Learning Models in Asian Countries: An International Multicenter Cohort Study.
Abstract Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a significant healthcare concern in several countries, accounting for a major burden of morbidity, mortality, disability, and socioeconomic losses. Although conventional prognostic models for patients with TBI have been validated, their performance has been limited. Therefore, we aimed to construct machine learning (ML) models to predict the clinical outcomes in adult patients with isolated TBI in Asian countries. ⋯ Among the tested models, the gradient-boosted decision tree showed the best performance (AUPRC, 0.746 [0.700-0.789]; AUROC, 0.940 [0.929-0.952]). The most powerful contributors to model prediction were the Glasgow Coma Scale, O2 saturation, transfusion, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, body temperature, and age. Our study suggests that ML techniques might perform better than conventional multi-variate models in predicting the outcomes among adult patients with isolated moderate and severe TBI.
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Journal of neurotrauma · Jun 2023
Multicenter Study Observational StudyComputed tomography lesions and their association with global outcome in young people with mild traumatic brain injury.
Mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI) can be accompanied by structural damage to the brain. Here, we investigated how the presence of intracranial traumatic computed tomography (CT) pathologies relates to the global functional outcome in young patients one year after mTBI. All patients with mTBI (Glasgow Coma Scale: 13-15) ≤24 years in the multi-center, prospective, observational Collaborative European NeuroTrauma Effectiveness Research in TBI (CENTER-TBI) study were included. ⋯ Patients with a positive CT scan were less likely to achieve a complete recovery 12 months post-injury. The presence of any CT abnormality was associated with both lower GOSE scores (odds ratio [OR]: 0.39 [0.24-0.63]) and incomplete recovery (GOSE <8; OR: 0.41 [0.25-0.68]), also when adjusted for demographical and clinical baseline factors. The presence of intracranial traumatic CT pathologies was predictive of outcome 12 months after mTBI in young patients, which might help to identify candidates for early follow-up and additional care.
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Journal of neurotrauma · Jun 2023
Multicenter StudyBlunt Cerebrovascular Injury in the Elderly with Traumatic Cervical Spine Injuries: Results of a Retrospective Multicenter Study of 1512 Cases in Japan.
This study is nationwide retrospective multi-center study to investigate the incidence and characteristics of blunt cerebrovascular injury (BCVI) in elderly Japanese patients with traumatic cervical spine injuries (CSI) including spinal cord injury (SCI) without major bone injury. The study enrolled 1512 patients (average age: 75.8 ± 6.9 years; 1007 males, 505 females) from 33 nationwide institutions, and 391 (26%) of the participants had digital subtraction angiography and/or computed tomography angiography. Fifty-three patients were diagnosed as having BCVI by angiography. ⋯ In conclusion, 53 (3.5%) elderly patients were complicated with BCVI. BCVI more frequently complicated head injury, severe neurological deficit (ASIA A or tetraplegia), AO type F, and/or C fractures and cervical dislocation in these patients. Six patients (11%) suffered brain infarction and two patients died from BCVI.
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Journal of neurotrauma · Mar 2023
Multicenter StudyDevelopment and external validation of a machine learning model for the early prediction of doses of harmful intracranial pressure in patients with severe traumatic brain injury.
Treatment and prevention of elevated intracranial pressure (ICP) is crucial in patients with severe traumatic brain injury (TBI). Elevated ICP is associated with secondary brain injury, and both intensity and duration of an episode of intracranial hypertension, often referred to as "ICP dose," are associated with worse outcomes. Prediction of such harmful episodes of ICP dose could allow for a more proactive and preventive management of TBI, with potential implications on patients' outcomes. ⋯ The external validation of the prediction model on the CENTER-TBI dataset demonstrated good discrimination and calibration (area under the curve: 0.94, accuracy: 0.89, precision: 0.87, sensitivity: 0.78, specificity: 0.94, calibration-in-the-large: 0.03, calibration slope: 0.93). The proposed prediction model provides accurate and timely predictions of harmful doses of ICP on the development and external validation dataset. A future interventional study is needed to assess whether early intervention on the basis of ICP dose predictions will result in improved outcomes.
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Journal of neurotrauma · Feb 2023
Multicenter StudySerum Acylcarnitine and Long-term Functional Prognosis after Traumatic Brain Injury with Intracranial Injury: A Multicenter Prospective Study.
Serum biomarkers have potential to help predict prognosis of traumatic brain injury (TBI). The objective of this study was to evaluate the association between serum acylcarnitine levels and functional outcomes at 1 month/6 months after injury for TBI patients with intracranial hemorrhage or diffuse axonal injury. This study is a multi-center prospective cohort study in which adult TBI patients with intracranial injury visiting the emergency departments (EDs) from December 2018 to June 2020 were enrolled. ⋯ The odds for 1-month poor functional outcome increased in the high-normal and the high groups [adjusted odds ratios, AORs (95% confidence intervals, CIs): 1.56 (1.09-2.23) and 2.47 (1.63-3.75)], compared with the low-normal group) and also as a continuous variable [1.05 (1.03-1.07) for each 1 μmol/L]. Regarding 6-month mortality, the high group had significantly higher odds when compared with the low-normal group [AOR (95% CI): 2.16 (1.37-3.40)]. Higher serum acylcarnitine levels are associated with poor functional outcomes at 1 month/6 months after injury for TBI patients with intracranial injury.